Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+108/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.3% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Joe Burrow has attempted 39.5 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow has been among the most on-target passers in the NFL this year with a stellar 69.9% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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