Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Joe Burrow has been among the most on-target passers in football this year with a stellar 68.4% Completion%, checking in at the 91st percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the NFL against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (73.0%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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