Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 33.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the league vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (63.7%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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