Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Joe Burrow has attempted 38.9 throws per game this year, checking in at the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow has been among the most on-target QBs in the league this year with an impressive 69.6% Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest level in the league vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (73.9%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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