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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bengals as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's DE corps has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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