Joe Burrow Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 31.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
The model projects Joe Burrow to earn 2.4 carries this week, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in run-blocking.

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