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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are an enormous 8-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 45.9% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast J.K. Dobbins to accrue 16.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Among all running backs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, taking on 59.1% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • J.K. Dobbins has grinded out 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (91st percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (only 55.4 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 4.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • The Tennessee defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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