J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to accrue 12.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
J.K. Dobbins has garnered 40.0% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

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