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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 43.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 10th-most yards in the NFL (128 per game) versus the New York Giants defense this year.
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The New York Giants have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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