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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to accumulate 14.2 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has been given 44.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has grinded out 63.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (87th percentile).
  • J.K. Dobbins's running efficiency (5.48 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (92nd percentile among RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 100 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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