J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to earn 13.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
J.K. Dobbins has received 41.2% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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