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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+157/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 45.3% red zone run rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the least TDs in the league (0.47 per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots defensive tackles project as the 5th-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
  • The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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