J.K. Dobbins Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing TD

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+157/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 45.3% red zone run rate.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Opposing teams have rushed for the least TDs in the league (0.47 per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season.
The New England Patriots defensive tackles project as the 5th-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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