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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.2% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Los Angeles Chargers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 127.7 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects J.K. Dobbins to garner 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a high 9.9% Target Rate (80th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.

This year, the fierce Texans defense has yielded a mere 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Houston's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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