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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

J.K. Dobbins has run a route on 51.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.

J.K. Dobbins has been one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

The Ravens safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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