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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With a remarkable 52.8% Route% (89th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins has been among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast J.K. Dobbins to accumulate 3.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • With an excellent 2.7 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins has been among the best RB receiving threats in the NFL.
  • With a terrific 93.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (86th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates among the best possession receivers in football among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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