J.K. Dobbins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-192/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -192.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to garner 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
J.K. Dobbins has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among RBs, catching a terrific 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (61.4%) to RBs this year (61.4%).
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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