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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

J.K. Dobbins has run a route on 51.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.

J.K. Dobbins grades out as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, completing a terrific 93.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

In regards to air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the measly 18th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

With a feeble 4.4 adjusted yards per target (21st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks as one of the bottom RBs in the pass game in the league.

With a lackluster 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the best pass-game running backs in football in space.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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