My Account Log Out
 
 
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With a remarkable 52.8% Route% (89th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins has been among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast J.K. Dobbins to accumulate 3.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • With a terrific 93.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (86th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins rates among the best possession receivers in football among RBs.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).
  • When it comes to air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in just the 19th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • J.K. Dobbins profiles as one of the least efficient receivers in football when it comes to RBs, averaging a lowly 4.40 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™