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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all running backs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 54.6% of the workload in his team's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 41.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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