J.K. Dobbins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 43.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The New York Giants have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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