J.K. Dobbins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-148/+112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to accumulate 14.2 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
J.K. Dobbins has been given 44.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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