Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Raiders grades out as the best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the model to run just 60.7 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Jimmy Garoppolo is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.8.

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