Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jimmy Garoppolo's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 66.8% to 72.0%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 5th-most passing TDs in football: 1.63 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
Jimmy Garoppolo has attempted a measly 27.8 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.

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