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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 66.8% to 72.0%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 5th-most passing TDs in football: 1.63 per game since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has attempted a measly 27.8 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.

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