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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (74.9%).

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the most TDs through the air in the league: 2.50 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.5% red zone pass rate.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Jimmy Garoppolo's passing accuracy has declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.2% to 63.2%.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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