My Account Log Out

reorder

Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in football vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (73.3%).

The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 9th-most passing touchdowns in the league: 1.60 per game this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.3% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.

More Jimmy Garoppolo Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™