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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a terrific 68.2% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.8% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 116.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 61.5 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 28.9 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.

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