Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 31, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When talking about blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in the league last year.
Jimmy Garoppolo has rushed for many more yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (1.0).
Jimmy Garoppolo's running effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 2.45 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 0.69 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the model to run just 60.7 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

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