Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Garoppolo has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (20.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.2%).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 29th-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to notch 2.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Jimmy Garoppolo has grinded out just 3.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in the league among quarterbacks (8th percentile).

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