Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-most run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 40.8% run rate.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to accumulate 2.0 rush attempts this week, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
Jimmy Garoppolo has grinded out just 2.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (14th percentile).

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