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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to accumulate 2.5 carries in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

Jimmy Garoppolo has generated a mere 2.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (13th percentile).

Jimmy Garoppolo's ground effectiveness (1.29 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (8th percentile among quarterbacks).

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