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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the 7th-worst unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The San Francisco 49ers have utilized some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in the league), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 116.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 61.5 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to notch 2.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 11th-least of all QBs.

Jimmy Garoppolo has generated a mere 2.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (5th percentile).

Jimmy Garoppolo's rushing effectiveness (1.34 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (3rd percentile among QBs).

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