Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The 49ers rank as the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 41.8% run rate.
The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jimmy Garoppolo has generated just 1.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (6th percentile).
Jimmy Garoppolo's rushing efficiency (0.70 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (5th percentile among quarterbacks).
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 0.96 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

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