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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The 49ers rank as the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 41.8% run rate.
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has generated just 1.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (6th percentile).
  • Jimmy Garoppolo's rushing efficiency (0.70 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (5th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 0.96 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

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