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Jimmy Garoppolo
NFL · Player Props
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB · San Francisco 49ers
Rushing Yards
San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 3:31 AM UTC
NFL Props Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -112.

Favors Over
  • The 49ers are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (135 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 9th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.96 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has picked up just 1.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (5th percentile).
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