Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-131/-109).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.7% run rate.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.01 yards-per-carry.
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The San Francisco 49ers have utilized some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to accumulate 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
Jimmy Garoppolo has grinded out just 2.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among QBs (9th percentile).

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