Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 10, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 239.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 238.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The the Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.08 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 123.6 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.8 plays per game.
This week, Jimmy Garoppolo is expected by the projections to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.8.
This year, the fierce Packers defense has yielded a measly 218.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 10th-best in football.

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