Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Jimmy Garoppolo has passed for substantially more yards per game (248.0) this year than he did last year (207.0).
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.09 yards-per-target while checking in at the 91st percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.15 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Jimmy Garoppolo's throwing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.2% to 64.1%.

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