Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-107/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 249.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 251.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown for substantially more yards per game (232.0) this year than he did last year (207.0).
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the best per-play passers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 7.85 yards-per-target while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Jimmy Garoppolo's passing accuracy has declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.2% to 63.2%.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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