Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the best per-play passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.16 yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Opposing teams have passed for the 4th-most yards in football (285.0 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in football vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (73.3%).

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 34.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

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