Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 248.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 247.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 248.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most on-target passers in the league this year with a terrific 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.07 yards-per-target while checking in at the 91st percentile.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 33.5 passes this week, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.

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