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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 248.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 247.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 248.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most on-target passers in the league this year with a terrific 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.07 yards-per-target while checking in at the 91st percentile.
  • The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 33.5 passes this week, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.

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