Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 247.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 251.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Jimmy Garoppolo has passed for a lot more yards per game (246.0) this year than he did last year (207.0).
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the best per-play QBs in the league this year, averaging a stellar 8.29 yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 32.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

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