Jimmy Garoppolo Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Completions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 11:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The the Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 123.6 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.8 plays per game.
This week, Jimmy Garoppolo is expected by the projections to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.8.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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