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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +123 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Jerry Jeudy to garner 7.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

This year, the porous Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded a staggering 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jerry Jeudy has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 88.1% of snaps vs just 66.2% last season.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 64.6% to 52.1%.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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