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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.
  • Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
  • With a terrific 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy rates among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
  • The Washington cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 85.5% snap rate this season signifies a remarkable gain in his offensive utilization over last season's 66.2% mark.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 58.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 64.6% figure.

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