Jerry Jeudy Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Jerry Jeudy is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.2 targets.
Jerry Jeudy has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With a fantastic 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Jerry Jeudy stands among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 60.1 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Denver Broncos have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 67.4% to 63.3%.
Since the start of last season, the stout Jets defense has yielded a measly 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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