Jerry Jeudy Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerry Jeudy has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 23.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 84th percentile among WRs.
Jerry Jeudy has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
The Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 9th-highest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.3%).
The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.

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