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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been in the 82nd percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 54.0 mark this year.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Detroit Lions cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 4.5 mark.

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