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Jerry Jeudy
NFL · Player Props
Jerry Jeudy
WR · Denver Broncos
Receptions
Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Jerry Jeudy Receptions

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jerry Jeudy to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jerry Jeudy ranks in the 82nd percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a massive 54.8 mark this year.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
Favors Under
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
  • The Texans cornerbacks rank as the 8th-best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
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