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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jerry Jeudy ranks in the 84th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 57.2 figure this year.

Jerry Jeudy's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 67.4% to 70.6%.

This year, the deficient Vikings pass defense has given up a colossal 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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