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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run fewer routes this year (88.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.4%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accrue 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.0% to 52.1%.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) to wideouts this year (63.2%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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