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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 79.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among WRs.

THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

Jerry Jeudy has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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